Price Trend: 12% Increase in Q1 2025
The price of chlorpyrifos has shown a continuous upward trajectory in the first quarter of 2025. From USD 5,189.28 (RMB 37,300) in January to USD 5,823.75 (RMB 41,800) by April, the cumulative increase reached 12.06%. This rise stems from a combination of raw material scarcity, supply constraints, and seasonal market forces.
Key Drivers of the Price Surge
Raw Material Shortage Tightens Market
One of the major reasons behind the price hike is the short supply of trichloroacetyl chloride, a key intermediate for chlorpyrifos. Several Chinese manufacturers ceased production due to environmental regulation non-compliance, shrinking availability and pushing up input costs. Additionally, inventory depletion across the pesticide supply chain exacerbated the shortage.
Production Capacity Fails to Meet Demand
According to networks the current effective production capacity for chlorpyrifos in 2025 is around 30,000 tons, while estimated market demand stands at 35,000 tons. Despite full-capacity operations at leading firms like Zhejiang Xinnong Chemical Co., Ltd., the industry faces a clear supply-demand imbalance.
Seasonal Demand Amplifies Pressure
The first quarter typically marks the peak preparation period for China’s pesticide market, with spring plowing activities fueling chlorpyrifos demand. Its reputation as a broad-spectrum, cost-effective insecticide further reinforces its dominant role in agricultural applications.
Outlook: High Prices Likely to Persist
In the short term, chlorpyrifos prices are expected to remain elevated, pending:
- Recovery of raw material supplies
- Stability in environmental compliance across producers
- Continuation of seasonal agricultural demand
Long-term price stability hinges on whether additional production capacity is introduced to relieve the structural supply deficit.
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